Take a look at each of these images and guess what proportion of the area is black.
http://arfer.net/x/img1.png
http://arfer.net/x/img2.png
http://arfer.net/x/img3.png
http://arfer.net/x/img4.png
http://arfer.net/x/img5.png
http://arfer.net/x/img6.png
http://arfer.net/x/img7.png
http://arfer.net/x/img8.png
http://arfer.net/x/img9.png
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"As for me, I can neither drum nor trumpet, nor tell jokes, nor fart amusingly at parties, nor play the harp."
You aren't trying to create psychological profiles of us in subtle ways, are you? :P But in all seriousness, I wouldn't mind hearing about the experiment at some point.
All numbers are percentages.
http://arfer.net/x/img1.png
7
http://arfer.net/x/img2.png
87
http://arfer.net/x/img3.png
90
http://arfer.net/x/img4.png
90
http://arfer.net/x/img5.png
50
http://arfer.net/x/img6.png
13
http://arfer.net/x/img7.png
50
http://arfer.net/x/img8.png
7
http://arfer.net/x/img9.png
44
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Fame is but a slow decay.
-Theodore Tilton
No tricks here. I'm just thinking of using these pictures as a way of conveying probability information. I hope to use a probability format (a) that transparently represents exact numbers and (b) that people are pretty good but not great at interpreting.
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"As for me, I can neither drum nor trumpet, nor tell jokes, nor fart amusingly at parties, nor play the harp."
How close did I get? (You can message me if you don't want anyone to accidentally see the true numbers).
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Fame is but a slow decay.
-Theodore Tilton
10, 90, 90, 90, 40, 10, 40, 15, 50
caps
Why are you hoping to use such a format?
10, 90, 88, 90, 40, 12, 45, 8, 50.
Dammit HeyDude...
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Well, there is a new accent of n00b language. It's called: Vet LUEser goes Foreign!-MegaSpy22
Those must be the pants of the gods!-Digitalpython
Because I want to directly convey the probability of a gamble while still allowing enough room for interpretation that experimentally induced bias can reveal itself. The manipulation I'm thinking of currently (lifted practically wholesale from Ditto, Pizarro, Epstein, Jacobson, & MacDonald, 2006) is adjusting the vividness of the good outcome of the gamble, the opportunity to eat freshly baked cookies, by presenting either a line drawing of cookies, a color photograph of cookies, or some actual cookies when explaining the outcome.
Ditto, P. H., Pizarro, D. A., Epstein, E. B., Jacobson, J. A., & MacDonald, T. K. (2006). Visceral influences on risk-taking behavior. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19, 99–113. doi:10.1002/bdm.520. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bdm.520/abstract
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"As for me, I can neither drum nor trumpet, nor tell jokes, nor fart amusingly at parties, nor play the harp."
13
88
88
87
48
11
65
9
50
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